The Dear Leader and I…..

 

GlobalWonk arrives in the Hermit Kingdom - 9.9.2008

GlobalWonk arrives in the Hermit Kingdom - 9.9.2008

 

Reports out of Japan indicate North Korea intends to make an “important announcement” on October 20th, 2008. Many believe it may be related to Kim Jong IL’s health, or some type of change in the government.

GlobalWonkwas in the DPRK for their 60th anniversary in September. The only word that accurately describes the experience is surreal. The government is a thugocracy. The only people with a decent standard of living are the Dear Leader and his lackeys. Everyone else lives in the 17th century.

The entire society is based upon a cult of personality created by Kim IL Song (with help from his Stalinist Soviet sponsors) after World War II. They completely manufactured heroic deeds the Great Leader performed in his nearly single-handed routing of the Imperialist Japanese. If you don’t believe it, just check out the Arch of Triumph in Pyongyang. It is larger than the one in Paris, France, and is dedicated to Kim IL Song’s victory in defeating the Japanese. When you ask your guide/agents when and where the Japanese surrendered to Kim IL Song, they have no answer. I asked if they ever heard about the bombings in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. I asked them if they ever heard that the Japanese surrendered to the Allied Powers on the U.S.S. Missouri in Tokyo Bay. They simply look at you in disbelief. The North Koreans have their own version of history.

The government is paranoid. Your passport is confiscated the moment you step foot in the country. All cell phones are collected at the airport and kept until you depart. You are not allowed to bring GPS equipment into the country.

I had two guides/agents that followed me everywhere. They told you what you could/could not take pictures of. You could only take photos at the designated tourist sites, all homages to the Great Leader, President Kim IL Song. They arranged your meals. They booked your hotel room and checked you into your room. They are the first people you see each morning and the last each night. They followed you everywhere. The hotel for outsiders is on an island in the middle of the Taedong River to help segregate you from the populace. You could not leave the hotel on your own. You were advised not to talk to any citizens.

The most stark contrast was drawn while visiting Dandong, China. Dandong is situated just north of the DPRK on the Yalu River. I was there during the Harvest Moon Festival. China and North Korea used to be connected by a bridge, built by the Japanese durring their occupation of Manchuria and Korea. The United States bombed the bridge during the Korean War (1951 I believe) and dropped the south side into the Yalu.

Today the north side of the bridge has been repainted by the Chinese. It is covered in neon and other bright lights and has become a tourist attraction. I believe they call it the “bridge to nowhere”. You pay a few Yuan and can walk to the southern end of the bridge to look at the concrete platforms/pilings that used to support the bridge on it’s path into Korea. The steel is long gone.

The contrast between the bustling, frenetic Chinese society and that of the DPRK is most distinct at night. The northern, Chinese city of Dandong is brilliantly lit and vibrant. The other side of the river lays dark. In supposedly the fourth largest city in North Korea, scarcely a single light is lit. It is surreal.

We know from the example of their bretheren in the south that the Korean people are industrious and intelligent. I personally witnessed how hard they work day-to-day to survive in the north. The fact they do in spite of governmental neglect is testament to their aheer will and tenacity.

For the sake of these poor souls I sincerely hope we get some good news on Monday. Let’s hope it leads to the opening of their society. Let’s hope it leads to direct foreign investment that will help them modernize and bring the collective standard of living to acceptable twenty-first century levels.

More DPRK reflections coming soon….

Perspective

Is perception reality?

 

Each of us have a lense through which we view our world. We each have a filter that outside information must pass through as we process, and attempt to understand it. These lenses and filters are the product of our experience. I have become very interested in understanding the perspective of the “other guy” as it pertains to U.S. foreign policy.

One of the most cherished ideals of the collective American psyche is revering freedom. We champion it at every opportunity. It is a founding tenet of our representative democracy.

Do others, in different societies, with disparate experiences, crave our definition of freedom? Is it fair to project our perspective onto others?

How does the average Chinese person feel about democracy? Freedom? Do they crave stability over freedom? Even if that means an autocratic government? A prominent University of Chicago scholar, and a Dean at a major University, both Chinese, expressed this very notion to me. It is hard for someone that grew up in America to wrap our mind around that. Give me Liberty, or give me Death! Remember?

Do we really expect Russia not to be concerned when NATO is knocking on it’s doorstep? How about putting a missile shield in former satellite countries? Wouldn’t we be concerned if Russia were doing the same?

How are our actions perceived by others in the world? Extending a missile defense system into Eastern Europe makes sense to us. It keeps us safe by extending a protective shield further, and further out from our shores. Distance equals reaction time. Pretty simple stuff, right?

Well, what if you are Russian? Your empire imploded back in 1991. You are still licking your wounds from that one. The United States has not exactly been humble in it’s triumph over the Soviet Union in the Cold War. Most of your former satellites aspire to membership in NATO, or are on friendly terms with the U.S. Some are even talking about allowing U.S. missile defense technology on their territory. How would you perceive these actions? Would you be concerned about U.S. unilateralism?

I plan to spend some time researching these issues in the coming months. Understanding each other’s perspective is key to developing win-win propositions. If we are going to prevent future conflict, we need to fully understand how other countries perceive themselves, and how they interpret our actions.

We interrupt our regularly scheduled broadcast to bring you this bulletin….

President Bush Aboard Air Force One on 9/11/2001. 

Think back for a moment to what you were doing the morning of September 11th, 2001. So much has happened since that fateful day, we tend to forget some of the details. I was in the suburbs of Chicago. It was one of those gorgeous September mornings. As my friend Dominic in Ireland would say; the sky was a “Big Blue Dome”.

As the tragic events unfolded, and it appeared we were under attack, the whereabouts of the President became a source of concern in the media. I can recall network anchors beginning to question where he was. Why wasn’t he reaching out to the American people to reassure us at this time of fear and confusion?

While I experienced the same emotions everyone did that day. I had one advantage. As a former member of the White House Communication’s Agency (WHCA), I had a pretty good idea where the President was, and what he was doing.

While I am prohibited from revealing any real information, I can say that we practiced relocating the President from the White House, or a trip site, continuously while I served there. As part of what Richard Clarke made public on Nightline after September 11th, the United States government has continuity of government plans to ensure the survival of the national command authority in the event of an attack on the nation.

The original Internet, funded by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), was part of these plans. Having been developed as a redundant, survivable, military communications network, it was to operate in the event the nation’s telecommunications infrastructure was attacked.

These doomsday plans were products of the Cold War. They were designed with deterrence in mind. We needed to convince the Soviet leadership that we could absorb an initial attack and retaliate effectively, and unforgivingly. So we practiced. A lot.

As we conducted our drills, and the military circled the wagons around it’s Commander-in-Chief, I would always wonder. How would a democracy react to it’s Chief Executive being whisked away by the military in a time of crisis? Well, we saw it on September 11th, 2001. The press made it appear the President was out of the loop when nothing could have been further from the truth.

To the Beat of a Different Drummer…

Drum Circle

I approached from the north. It squatted low on the horizon as it came into view, nearly disappearing against the gray November sky. It is not a friendly looking building. Lots of concrete, very few windows.

I parked in an adjacent multi-level concrete parking garage and walked across the street into the hardened facility. After walking through a metal detector, and presenting my identification, I was introduced to my host. He was a tall, thin man. Aged about forty-five years. He greeted me with a broad smile and a firm handshake. We began our journey by navigating through a man-trap. Two secured doors monitored by armed men. You pass through one at a time. The first door fully secures behind you before the second is opened.

As the second door opened a strong odor of industrial strength ammonia invaded my sinuses. The familiar military-issue looking green tile, florescent lighting, and white concrete block walls screamed; INSTITUTION. You could practically feel the bureaucracy choking you. Things did not happen fast in here.

We walked through the empty corridors. Not passing another soul. We entered what looked like a public school classroom. There were about twenty-five classroom chairs arranged in a circle. Large drums, and other percussion instruments were stacked in the middle of the circle. We took our seats spaced evenly around the circle.

We started to hear a commotion in the hallway. It grew louder as it came closer to our room. It sounded similar to troops marching around an Army base in formation. They entered our room quickly. I was taken aback by how young they looked. These were kids! I immediately noticed something else. They were all Hispanic or African-American. There was not a white face among them.

They were horsing around with each other, as boys will do, as they took their chairs. They kept their heads down. Careful not to make eye contact with us. They were clearly familiar with, and very respectful of, our host. Each had a hardened look on their face. A shield used to help them survive their ordeal here.

Our host introduced us to the young men. They in turn told us their names. If you’ve never been in a drumming circle, or a circle of any type, there are rules you must follow. There is traditionally a talking stick, or rock, or something the speaker holds while it is their turn to talk. You can only talk when you have the talking stick. You must listen intently when it is not your turn to talk. You speak your mind, then pass the talking stick to the next person.

After introductions, our host asked us to each respond to a serious question. We went around the room taking turns answering it. These were deep questions. About love, fear, and death. Pride, loyalty, respect, and family. What it meant to be a man.

We would go around the circle to share our feelings about the question asked. Then our leader asked everyone to pick up a drum, or other percussion instrument. We began to play our drums. We started softly at first. Feeling each other out a bit. As we became more comfortable and our guard came down, the noise grew louder.

As we pounded the taught skins of the drums harder you could see the kid coming out in these guys. Big, broad smiles broke out. We laughed. You could feel the entire room synching into a rhythm. One person would lead the group in a beat, then someone across the room would pick up the tempo and lead for a period of time. We went back and forth like that for some time. We soaked up the fellowship of the music. It was very uplifting.

We went back and forth. Talking and sharing, then drumming. It was quite an experience. I was surprised how emotional they got so quickly. Almost as if they yearned for any emotional intimacy with another human being. We told each other things I haven’t shared with the closest of friends or family members. There was a sense of urgency in our communications. I had a strange feeling of wanting to impart whatever wisdom I could in this small window of opportunity. I wanted to give them another chance at their childhood. I wanted to tell them not to give up on life. They could be redeemed. Life was not over for them….

They shared a perspective on life that most Americans can not understand. These kids thought about their mortality every single day. When you were nine, or ten years old, how often did you think about your own death? These kids lived with death every day. Close friends gunned down on the street. Brothers murdered. They knew where to go in their neighborhood to find a drop gun to take care of business if someone threatened them.

This is going to sound like a stereotype, but it what these young men communicated to me. Nearly to a man, they did not know their fathers. Most of their mothers were addicts or had checked out of their lives. They had no good roles models. These boys, as early as eight years old, and sometimes younger, felt they needed to turn to street crime to provide for their families. They had to be the man of the house.

While your average American pre-teen was having a sleep over with his buddies, these kids were deciding what to steal so they had something to bring home to their siblings to eat for the night. This breakdown in our society was breeding a class of young predators.

By now you have to be asking yourself; what the hell does this have to do with foreign policy? When is he going to bring this around to China? Well, we ended our evening with these kids and said our goodbyes. I had spent several hours at the juvenile detention center in a major American city. I spent that time with twenty-one boys between the ages of nine and sixteen. Half of them were murderers. The remainder had attempted murder.

This was a paradigm shift for me. I am certainly not some kumbaya singing, hemp clothing enthusiast that always sees the glass half-full. I am a realist. But seeing these young kids locked up for the rest of their lives really affected me. I immediately asked myself; how do we fix this? Should a child groomed for failure not be given a second chance? The average American only sees the crime side of this equation. The simple answer is to “lock them up and throw away the key”. This experience made me question some of my fundamental beliefs.

I tell this story here because I think it is analogous to the misunderstandings between the people of China and the United States. We think very differently about some things. We approach issues from different directions, and from different perspectives, and experiences than each other. We have vastly different histories. China is one of the oldest, greatest civilizations on earth. We are relative upstarts, that came into greatness at a very early age.

China is a great nation where many of her citizens have lived in abject poverty for over a century. It would be foolish for us not to believe that some Chinese might be jealous of our standard of living, and wish for the same for their family. Why should we not want that for them as well? Do we have to live life as a zero sum game?

At the same time there are aspects of our society that probably offend, or frighten the hell out of an average Chinese citizen. There are certainly parts of their culture we would find unusual. However, we all need to reach out and try to understand each others perspective and appreciate each others culture. Knowing, or thinking you know, only one side of an issue is a very dangerous thing. It makes it supremely easy to influence you. To make you think a certain way.

Now I’m not suggesting we all fly to Beijing with a snare drum and a set of bongos. But I do think we need to look for ways to break down the barriers that make it easy to misunderstand true intentions or motivations. As China continues to grow over the next ten years, it will become increasingly likely that our strategic interests will collide. How well we understand each other, how adept we are at reading each others signals, could be crucial. Most importantly, it is my hope, that by looking for these opportunities to communicate cross-culturally we will prevent these collisions from happening in the first place.

So let’s begin the discussion on how we can break down these barriers. Please click on the ‘Comment’ button below this post and let GlobalWonk know what your thoughts and ideas are.

China’s Peaceful Rise?

Chinese Military

Peaceful rise. We hear that term a lot nowadays to describe China’s economic development ambitions. What does it mean? Is this possible? How will the world be different in thirty years? Twenty? Ten? Will it be more, or less peaceful? Will our children and grandchildren enjoy the freedoms many now take for granted. Freedom of speech. Freedom of religion. Free to live where you want. To pursue happiness.

Deng Xiaoping understood what the communists in the Soviet Union did not. He believed the best way to move his country forward was to encourage economic growth. He knew that continuing a state controlled economy would keep his people impoverished for many generations. In 1978 Deng gambled when he opened up the Chinese economy and allowed the provinces relative economic autonomy. His gamble has certainly paid off handsomely. Foreign direct investment combined with an indigenious economy that has been exposed to, and is competing with, the fiercest of global competition has built an economic juggernaut of historic proportions.

As China grows stronger economically, it is natural that it will want to protect its interests, as we do. To do this, the Chinese military will have to become larger, and increasingly forward deployed. It will require a blue water Navy to secure trade routes. It may garrison forces in places like Africa, the Middle East, perhaps even South America, to protect strategic relationships with suppliers of key energy resources and raw materials.

How will America respond to this? These are steps nations, such as ourselves, took in the early, rapidly developing stages of our development. Will we welcome a new near peer, and potentially (eventually?) peer power? Or will we be fearful and self-fulfill the doomsday prophecy of a New Cold War, or worse?

Here is what today’s thought leaders think about the topic;

  • In the aftermath of the September 11th terrorist attacks, Thomas Barnett’s 2004 book The Pentagon’s New Map became an extremely popular read. He divides the world’s countries into the Functioning Core, and The Non-Integrating Gap. Barnett tells the story of making the rounds at the Pentagon presenting what he began to call “The Brief’”, to ever more senior levels of military and political leadership. Barnett theorizes that nation states no longer need to wage war with one another. As members of the ‘functioning core’, they are too economically integrated to consider attacking one another. Everybody loses when the apple cart is upset. War is relegated to Functioning Corers cleaning up zealots in the Non-Integrating Gap. 
  •  Dr. John J. Mearsheimer, the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, on the other hand believes the U.S. and China are destined for conflict as an ever more powerful China attempts to establish regional hegemony and push the United States out of Asia.
  • Dr. Susan Shirk, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State and Professor, University of California, San Diego wrote a book in 2007 titled China; Fragile Superpower. In it she claims the U.S. has more to fear from a weak China.

Although China looks like a powerhouse from the outside, to its leaders it looks fragile, poor, and overwhelmed by internal problems. But China’s massive problems, instead of reassuring us, should worry us. It is China’s internal fragility, not its growing strength that presents the greatest danger. The weak legitimacy of the Communist Party and its leaders’ sense of vulnerability could cause China to behave rashly in a crisis involving Japan or Taiwan, and bring it into a military conflict with the United States.

If economic growth slows and problems multiply, there is a possibility that China’s leaders could be tempted to “Wag the Dog” – mobilize domestic support by creating an international crisis. More likely, however, is that when confronted with a crisis, the leaders make threats they can’t back away from because of their fear of appearing weak to the domestic audience. Only by understanding the dangers of China’s domestic tranquility and incorporating this understanding into their policies can Chinese and American decision makers avoid a catastrophic war

  • Dr. Suisheng “Sam” Zhao, Professor and Executive Director of the Center for China-US Cooperation at the University of Denver, is concerned that domestic chaos could cause China’s Communist Party (CCP) leadership to pursue an aggressive foreign policy to stir nationalistic enthusiasm and deflect attention from the CCP. Further, Dr. Zhao believes these domestic forces could begin to fester if economic growth slows below 6% – 7% per year. American’s can only dream of that pace of growth today. If China slows to this level, Dr. Zhao believes their economy will no longer be able to absorb the historic migration of population from farms to cities. This will cause large numbers of young, unemployed people, to begin to question the CCP’s decisions that brought their country to this point. Aggressive foreign policy could take the form of flexing their newly enhanced military muscle to further intimidate Taiwan, clash with the Japanese over oil drilling rights in the East China Sea, or challenge U.S. dominance in their backyard.

I highly respect each of the scholars I’ve mentioned above. With these, and many other disparate voices out there; what are we to believe? How do we prevent ourselves from being acted upon? What can we do to influence positive outcomes? I do not profess to have the answers to these big questions. I have many, many more questions than I do answers.

 GlobalWonk intends to convene a “No New Cold War” conference within the next eighteen months. We will bring together today’s thought leaders to discuss key issues in the U.S./China relationship. We’ll work together to develop meaningful steps that individuals and communities can take to have a positive impact on this most important of relationships.

Nightmare Scenario

Mushroom Cloud 

The security community agrees that there will be a dirty bomb attack on an American city at some point. The puzzle is why it hasn’t happened yet, especially since the means and motives are readily available. – Graham Allison, director of Harvard University’s Belfor Center for Science and International Affairs. Global Security Newswire 10/17/2007.

I left the White House Communications Agency in the fall of 1992. I was back home in the Chicago area before Thanksgiving. My father and I quickly developed a routine of sipping coffee while solving the world’s problems. I very clearly remember telling him I was troubled by some of the things I learned through my duties at WHCA.

Working in the Secure Voice section provided me with access to some of our nation’s most classified information. Conference calls convened in the middle of the night usually involved folks at the tip of the foreign policy or intelligence gathering spear. Things went bump in the night.

Before then I never knew how many people actually wished us harm. People out there actively planning to execute missions designed to kill as many Americans possible. The sheer magnitude of people or groups attempting nefarious acts was astonishing.

At the same time, many of the former Soviet republics were teaming with sites that stockpiled poorly secured raw materials for weapons of mass destruction (WMD). In some cases actual weapons were poorly secured. The break-up of the U.S.S.R. created instability in the region. This greatly enhanced the likelihood some of these materials could change hands. (Where was our post-Cold War Marshall Plan?)

The combination of a very strong desire to cause maximum damage with the opportunity to acquire WMD components created the recipe for a nightmare scenario.

Now, I was a good soldier and would never divulge classified information to my father. Besides duty, honor, country, I was heavily incented (with the threat of a federal prison term) during my out-processing to maintain Omerta. What I did tell my father was that, for the reasons stated above, I believed we would see the detonation of a nuclear device in a major American city within five to ten years.I just felt the odds of preventing every attempt were against us.

My time line would have taken us to 1997 through 2002. Do you think for a minute that the persons responsible for bombing the World Trade Center in 1993, and flying planes into them in 2001, would have thought twice about using a nuclear device if they had the ability to acquire and detonate one? I don’t. Because I know that had they been capable, they would have executed a nuclear mission on United States territory. Our losses on September 11, 2001 would have staggered the mind. The potential for hundreds of thousands dead. Possibly a million or more sick or injured. There would parts of Manhattan uninhabitable for years.

If we fail to act, this deadly combination of relentless will and sloppy controls over access to materials in some areas of the world will spell disaster at some point in the not too distant future. The fact is has not yet happened is testament to the dedication of the professionals working these issues, in our name, every day.

So what can you, as an individual citizen do? I implore you to check out the Nuclear Threat Initiative’s web page at the following link: http://www.nti.org Here you will find information on donating your money and/or efforts to supporting the cause of securing loose WMD materials at sites around the globe. If you need further motivation, take the opportunity to watch their movie; Last Best Chance. It is available at http://www.lastbestchance.org

You can donate cash to enable nonproliferation programs. You can lobby your representatives in Congress and force them to fund these programs. You can elect a President in 2008 that has this issue on their radar screen. The most important thing is to act, before it is too late.

Will China’s Rise Lead to an Environmental Catastrophe?

China Pollution - Courtesy of NASA 

GlobalWonk attended a debate in Chicago last week that outlined the impacts of China’s unprecedented economic rise on the environment. The debate was sponsored by The Economist and Chicago Public Radio. Orville Schell, Director of the Center on U.S./China Relations at the Asia Society, and Barry Weisberg, from the University of Illinois at Chicago (UIC), represented the affirmative position. Vijay Vaitheeswaran, correspondent for The Economist, and Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director of the Energy Technology Innovation Project at the Belfor Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University, represented the negative position.

The affirmative side won the debate. They argued that China is already in the midst of an environmental catastrophe. Vaitheeswaran and Gallagher did not disagree that there are current significant issues; but thought that all developing countries cycle through this. Early stages of development being much dirtier than later, more technically savvy stages.

During the question and answer period GlobalWonk asked the following question; “If you were a presidential candidate in the ’08 election, what policies would you pursue relative to green and renewable energies, to ensure the United States were arguing from a defensable moral position when making recommendations to China on their development?”

In our opinion, while we certainly should be concerned, we have no right to castigate the Chinese when our own house is not in order. Let’s clean up our act, in all senses of the term, before we are audacious enough to make recommendations to others.

The New York Times has done an excellent series on this topic. We highly recommend it. The link is below:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2007/08/26/world/asia/choking_on_growth.html

Where was General Marshall when we needed him?

Cold War Globe 

It is the summer of 1992.

In the previous three years:

  1. Eastern Europe has become democratic.
  2. The Berlin Wall fell.
  3. Germany reunited.
  4. President George H.W. Bush grounded Looking Glass.
  5. Hardliners attempted to overthrow Gorbachev.
  6. The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (U.S.S.R.) ceased to exist.
  7. The Cold War ended.
  8. The United States military dealt a stunning defeat to Saddam’s vaunted military

The United States stood at a moment of singularity. Our power and prestige were at their pinnacle. Unchallenged.

Did we use this unprecedented position and influence to help shape the future of the world for the betterment of all mankind? Did we help Russia, and the other former Soviet republics, assimilate into the world economy? Did we work hard enough to understand the internal dynamics of Chinese society in order to nuture a positive orientation to the United States during their economic resurgence?

Did we wage peace?

After forty years of conflict with the Soviet Union in an epic battle of ideologies; why did we have no Marshall Plan to secure the peace and rebuild regions of the world that had stagnated and fallen behind under the grip of communism?

The only screams I remember hearing out of Congress were from narrow-minded members seeking a “peace dividend”. The United States Army, the same force that performed so brilliantly in the Gulf War, was cut in half.

All of the finger pointing now about overtaxing Guard and Reserve troops is a direct result of this demand by Congress for a peace dividend in 1992. Congress knowingly cut the Army’s troop strength in half. They burdened the Guard and Reserve with missions formerly assigned to active duty units. Fast forward nine years to the Summer of 2001. Enter your local high school kid looking to serve their country for a few years locally while finishing school or working to save enough money to do so. If he has been lucky enough to not have been injured, that kid has just served two extended tours in Iraq within three years.

The term ‘You reap what you sow.’ comes to mind. We failed to take advantage of our unprecedented opportunity in the early nineties. We were all too enamored with Windows, and our Internet stock portfolios. Many of the issues we are facing now, and into the foreseeable future, are the direct result of neglecting key strategic relationships throughout the nineties.

This is not a partisan slap at any one party or administration. Both parties failed us. We need leadership at all levels of our government that are willing to plant seeds and nurture our global relationships. We can not afford to fail now. Me must use all of our hard and soft power to wage peace and secure a future for all the world’s children.

The Truth About Inconvenience

Al Gore

You would be hard-pressed to find former Vice President Albert Gore Jr. and myself simpatico on many issues. However, I admire him for the passion he has exhibited on environmental issues dating back to his early college years. He stuck his neck out, and put his credibility on the line, when no other political figures of his stature were willing to do so. He wrote his first book, Earth in the Balance, way back in 1992 when global warming wasn’t a sexy issue. For these reasons GlobalWonk applauds his receipt of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize. (We were also happy to see him win the Oscar earlier this year.)

Unfortunately there are too few politicians, and leaders in all parts of society, willing to make the tough calls necessary to get the United States on a track that leads to sustainable growth, peace and prosperity. Let me preface the comments below by saying that I love my country. I served almost ten years active duty in our Armed Forces. I am saying these things because we need to make changes if we are to remain a great and free nation. Consider the following:

  1. What are we going to do about Social Security? We have seniors in our country that choose between food or medicine every night. The problem will only get worse. 2007 is the first year of the decade-plus wave of Baby Boomer retirees being added to an already strained system.
  2. Why are we not energy independent thirty-four years after the 1973 Oil Embargo that awoke a sleeping nation to the fact we were importing more oil than we were producing for the first time in our history; even though our government, and industry insiders, knew the inevitability of this as early as WWII.
  3. As of this posting the United States is $9.049 TRILLION in debt. This number increase by $1.42 Billion per day. This amounts to $29,838.44 per man, woman, and child living in our country. What happens when our financial system becomes so dire that nations like China and Japan cease buying our public debt? What if they decide the European Union, and the Euro, is a safer bet for their reserve currencies than the dollar?

We need strong leaders to make us confront these, and many other, critical issues. We need them because most Americans are unable, or unwilling, to face these issues themselves.

  • We all know that Social Security may not be there for us as it was for our parent’s and grandparent’s retirement. Yet we are one of the least saving societies on the planet.
  • We know we are trading lives and treasure every day to maintain our, and the world’s, free access to (relatively) cheap energy via Middle Eastern petroleum. Yet we drive cars larger than the homes of people in more modest countries.
  • We know our country is deeply in debt. Yet we continue to expect the same level of government services and vote for politicians that bring the pork home in the form of pet projects and federally funded jobs.

We Americans will not change our ways until it becomes uncomfortable. I call this The Truth About Inconvenience. Sure, we should all drive a hybrid. But the kids can’t watch their DVDs in the back while they are driven the quarter-mile to soccer practice. We all talk the talk, but we do not want to be inconvenienced by having to walk the walk. The only way to get rid of gas guzzling monster trucks is to make fueling them cost prohibitive. I am certainly not a fan of higher taxes. I am however, a realist. There is a time and a place for government to step in and coerce activity that is conducive to progress for the public good.

Ridiculously expensive gasoline would also make people think twice about that eighth-of-a-mile trip to the gas station for the 300 oz. diet Dr. Pepper. We might actually walk more. Hey, we might even build sub-divisions with sidewalks that connect to each other, kinda like a community.You might meet your neighbors while walking to the store to pick-up a few things for dinner. Knowing your neighbor might encourage you not to call the cops the next time their kid crosses through your yard and steps on your perennials. We might all keep an eye on each other’s kids.

Ridiculously expensive gasoline would encourage the use of public transportation. It would spur venture capital investment in new energy technologies. This will create entirely new sectors of the economy (think Silicon Valley and the computer). They will innovate new products and potentially new energy sources. This will spur our economy which would generate more tax revenue and allow us to pay down the national debt. And so on, and so on…..

So, where do we find these leaders? Where is our Harry Truman? Where is our F.D.R.? Where is our Abraham Lincoln? If you spot one of these type leaders in the Presidential Debates, please drop me a line. We need a hero.

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